Tradition • Character • Service

Tradition • Character • Service

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

A not-so-quick look at strength of schedule numbers and playoff possibilities


On Saturday Hillsdale rolled past Findlay 31-3 but dropped from 5. to 6. in Monday's regional poll. How could that happen?

Well, strength of schedule is so heavily weighted that playing a bad team like the 1 win Oilers can do that to you. Up until last week Hillsdale had played the 20th toughest schedule in the country. That dropped to 36 after Saturday. Michigan Tech hopped all of the way up to 11 with a win over Ferris. The big worry is that with Hillsdale playing winless Tiffin and Tech playing .500 NMU that the Huskies can vault the Chargers. Luckily Wayne State behind us takes on Findlay and the subsequent blow to its numbers like we suffered last week.

We could sit here and come up with one scenario after the next as to what will help Hillsdale get in and what will hurt the Chargers' chances.

The real unknown is what human thought factors will be used by the regional and national committees. Numbers guide human decisions, even numbers not officially included in the selection process..numbers committee members can't ignore even if they try. National polls don't count, but can the number 13 team be excluded? We'll see.

Every Hillsdale player from the last 30 years has been taught to focus only on the things he can control. The Chargers can only control one factor and that is increasing the win total. Everything else will have to take a backseat. Let's still enjoy this final regular season week and hope there are more weeks to come.

Here is the latest regional poll with national schedule rank in parenthesis.
1. UMD 10-0 (114)
2. Augustana 9-1 (43)
3. GVSU 9-1 (91)
4. Neb Kearney 9-1 (115)
5. St Cloud St. 8-2 (24)
6. Hillsdale 8-2 (36)
7. MTU 7-2 (11)
8. Wayne State (MI) 8-2 (78)
9. Colorado Mines 8-2 (121)
10. CSU-Pueblo 7-3 (84)

Division II SOS list

- Posted using BlogPress from my iPad

4 comments:

mitch said...

Do you know where Hillsdale was ranked in the National Polls a year ago?

Andy Losik said...

Same exact spot...6 with the Dragons left.

Andy Losik said...

Oops...in the national polls Hillsdale was #20.

AFCA Poll after week 10

4. Minnesota St.-Mankato 10-0
5. Grand Valley St. (Mich.) 9-1
6. Minnesota-Duluth 9-1
8. Nebraska-Kearney 9-1
20. Hillsdale (Mich.)8-2
22. Saginaw Valley St. (Mich.) 8-2

Anonymous said...

20th yes but we beat GVSU. Which obviously factored in. I think we need an MTU Loss. because we beat them head to head and if were even I think thats one of the tie breakers. I just don't want to see WSU catch us because the head to head goes their way then.

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